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	<title>marius dot org &#187; blodgett</title>
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	<description>My random ramblings and musings</description>
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		<title>25x revenue is a company valuation? Huh?</title>
		<link>http://www.marius.org/feeder/?FeederAction=clicked&#038;feed=Articles+%28RSS2%29&#038;seed=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.marius.org%2F2008%2F05%2F08%2F25x_revenue_is_a_company_valuation_huh%2F&#038;seed_title=25x+revenue+is+a+company+valuation%3F+Huh%3F</link>
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		<pubDate>Thu, 08 May 2008 20:58:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>marius</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[blodgett]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[flickr]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[google]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[microsoft]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[revenue]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[valuation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[yahoo]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[I was reading the article by Mark Evans that laid out how Flickr could have an independent valuation of $4 billion dollars.&#160; He used a multiplier defined by Henry Blodgett in determining the value of Facebook: 25 times a company’s &#8230; <a href="http://www.marius.org/feeder/?FeederAction=clicked&#038;feed=Articles+%28RSS2%29&#038;seed=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.marius.org%2F2008%2F05%2F08%2F25x_revenue_is_a_company_valuation_huh%2F&#038;seed_title=25x+revenue+is+a+company+valuation%3F+Huh%3F">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I was reading the <a href="http://www.markevanstech.com/2008/05/08/is-flickr-worth-4-billion/">article by Mark Evans</a> that laid out how <a href="http://www.flickr.com/">Flickr</a> could have an independent valuation of $4 billion dollars.&#160; He used a multiplier defined by Henry Blodgett in determining the value of <a href="http://www.facebook.com/" target="_blank">Facebook</a>: 25 times a company’s annual revenue is their valuation.</p>
<p>Wow.</p>
<p>I decided to apply this to a few other companies that have been in the news lately: Yahoo!, Microsoft, and Google.</p>
<p>Based on 2007 10K filings for each company:</p>
<table border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="2" width="400">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="99"><strong>Company</strong></td>
<td valign="top" width="98"><strong>Annual Revenue</strong></td>
<td valign="top" width="131"><strong>Valuation</strong></td>
<td valign="top" width="70"><strong>Market Cap (as of 5/8/2008)</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="99"><strong>Yahoo!</strong></td>
<td valign="top" width="98">$6.425B (2006)</td>
<td valign="top" width="131">$160.625B</td>
<td valign="top" width="70">$36.08B</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="99"><strong>Microsoft</strong></td>
<td valign="top" width="98">$51.122B (2007)</td>
<td valign="top" width="131">$1.278T</td>
<td valign="top" width="70">$272.60B</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="99"><strong>Google</strong></td>
<td valign="top" width="103">$16.593B (2007)</td>
<td valign="top" width="133">$414.825B</td>
<td valign="top" width="87">$182.92B</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>This gives between 2.5 and 4.5 of over-estimate in independent publicly traded companies.&#160; I’m not a finance guy, but it seems like that 25 times number is quite a stretch, to me.</p>
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